Czech Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Viktoria Plzeň vs Sigma Olomouc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SIG
0 - 1
VKP
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
VKP
1 - 0
TEP
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 2
VKP
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TER
3 - 0
VKP
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
VKP
2 - 0
STB
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SIG
0 - 1
VKP
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ZBR
2 - 0
SIG
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SIG
2 - 2
BOH
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
FCL
0 - 3
SIG
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
RAB
0 - 1
SIG
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |