Qualif. Champions 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Viktoria Plzeň vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
VKP
0 - 0
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
VKP
1 - 0
IST
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
VKP
1 - 1
F95
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
VKP
4 - 4
UST
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
VKP
1 - 1
SOK
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
F91
1 - 1
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
QAR
2 - 0
F91
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
ZEN
0 - 1
QAR
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
QAR
3 - 0
AZA
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |