Europa League Last 16
Global 3-5
Viktoria Plzeň vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VKP
0 - 0
SLO
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 1
VKP
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
VKP
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VKP
3 - 2
ZNO
81%
14%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 2
VKP
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LYO
2 - 3
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 1
VKP
55%
24%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 2
LYO
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 0
MPL
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 0
CHO
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |