Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 10-2
Viktoria Plzeň vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
4 - 0
BAN
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 4
VKP
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 4
VKP
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
ZEL
1 - 2
VKP
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
VKP
5 - 0
BOH
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TAL
1 - 1
KAL
10%
19%
71%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 4
VKP
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
TIN
1 - 1
KAL
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 1
HJK
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
85%
10%
4%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |