Viktoria Plzeň vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
3º
10º
3º
44
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 1
AGF
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 0
HKR
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 3
VKP
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
DUK
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
VKP
11 - 0
DOU
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MBO
1 - 1
LUD
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
MBO
2 - 0
BUD
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MBO
5 - 1
LNZ
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MBO
2 - 0
FKM
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MBO
0 - 1
SLO
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |