Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 4-1
Viktoria Plzeň vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
0 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ZNO
0 - 1
VKP
15%
24%
61%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
6 - 2
KAL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
4 - 0
BAN
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 4
VKP
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
KRK
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
APO
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
APO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
6 - 1
FCK
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |