Viktoria Plzeň vs Karviná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
3º
11
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
22 | 65 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 63 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 55 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 49 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 42 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 41 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 36 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 31 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 30 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
93.5% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
6% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 76% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 2
VKP
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAB
0 - 0
VKP
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
HRA
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUK
1 - 3
VKP
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 3
FCK
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
KAR
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
SLI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 2
KAR
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
POD
3 - 3
KAR
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 1
KAR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |