Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-0
Viktoria Plzeň vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ESK
0 - 3
VKP
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
HKR
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VKP
5 - 0
KAR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 2
VKP
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAB
0 - 0
VKP
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 0
GLA
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 0
HOM
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 5
TOT
13%
18%
69%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |