Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Viktoria Plzeň vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
VKP
2 - 1
CSK
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VKP
2 - 0
PRI
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 2
VKP
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
ZBR
1 - 3
VKP
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
JIS
0 - 3
VKP
14%
19%
66%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 0
SHA
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
SHA
4 - 0
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SHA
4 - 0
PSE
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HOV
0 - 2
SHA
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |