Viktoria Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
WEG
0 - 2
VIK
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIK
3 - 1
WAT
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
KRA
2 - 2
VIK
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ERN
0 - 0
VIK
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ROD
4 - 2
VIK
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 2
VER
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
VEL
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
ROT
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
VEL
60%
20%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WEG
2 - 6
VEL
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |