Viktoria Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
KFC
1 - 1
VIK
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AAA
0 - 1
VIK
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
VIK
1 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIK
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VIK
4 - 1
WIE
73%
16%
10%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
SPO
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 1
VEL
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOR
22%
24%
53%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
VEL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
ROT
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |