Viktoria Köln vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 1
VIK
48%
24%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VIK
1 - 0
BOR
38%
27%
34%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
AAA
4 - 0
VIK
42%
24%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
VIK
0 - 4
WUP
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
ADL
2 - 0
VIK
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
ADL
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
WUP
3 - 0
VEL
30%
24%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
4 - 1
BFR
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
MSV
0 - 1
VEL
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
HAM
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |