Viktoria Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
VIK
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VIK
3 - 0
DOR
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 8
VIK
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 1
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
VIK
2 - 3
ADL
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +24 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
WER
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
SWE
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 1
DOR
78%
16%
7%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ERK
2 - 4
SWE
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |