Viktoria Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
WUP
1 - 3
VIK
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FCR
0 - 1
VIK
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VIK
4 - 0
DIE
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VIK
2 - 0
FCB
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIK
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SWE
0 - 4
FCR
48%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SWE
0 - 1
FCB
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
EUR
0 - 2
SWE
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
SWE
6 - 0
GET
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
BOR
4 - 0
SWE
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |