Viktoria Köln vs SC Herford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1979 |
WAT
1 - 0
VIK
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
HAN
0 - 2
VIK
77%
15%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
VIK
9 - 2
RWL
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
WHE
4 - 1
VIK
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
DSC
2 - 1
VIK
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Herford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
SCH
0 - 3
HOL
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
SCH
2 - 1
WUR
66%
17%
16%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
SCH
0 - 0
AAA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
WAT
3 - 0
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
SCH
3 - 2
KFC
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |