Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
AAA
1 - 0
VIK
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VIK
0 - 1
ERK
43%
28%
29%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIK
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
VIK
1 - 3
EGE
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
WAT
1 - 0
VIK
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
ROT
0 - 5
WUP
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
ROT
2 - 2
AAA
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
ERK
1 - 0
ROT
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
ROT
7 - 0
LEV
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
EGE
0 - 4
ROT
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | -1 |