Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
STR
2 - 1
VIK
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
WEG
3 - 1
VIK
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
VIK
0 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
VIK
3 - 3
BFR
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
GRA
2 - 0
VIK
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
MSV
0 - 1
SWE
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 0
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 1
MSV
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
MSV
2 - 0
WUP
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCB
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |