Viktoria Köln vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
GET
2 - 2
VIK
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
VIK
2 - 1
RHE
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
BOR
1 - 0
VIK
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VIK
1 - 1
BSC
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
FOR
5 - 1
VIK
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MSV
3 - 0
RHE
45%
25%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BSC
3 - 2
MSV
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MSV
2 - 0
WEG
54%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 3
MSV
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCB
0 - 3
MSV
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |