Viktoria Köln vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1981 |
OSV
0 - 0
VIK
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
VIK
2 - 1
EBT
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
AAA
4 - 2
VIK
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
VIK
2 - 2
KÖL
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
VIK
0 - 0
ISC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1981 |
HOL
2 - 1
VFB
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
TEN
3 - 1
HOL
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
HOL
0 - 3
FCB
55%
20%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 0
HOL
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
HOL
1 - 2
OSN
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |