Viktoria Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
WEG
0 - 0
VIK
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
VIK
5 - 0
STR
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
SWE
0 - 3
VIK
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
VIK
3 - 2
WUP
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
VIK
4 - 2
TUS
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
STR
0 - 3
FOR
39%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 1
WUP
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
DIE
1 - 4
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 0
ADL
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
GET
2 - 6
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |