Viktoria Köln vs Blau-Weiß Parchim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
VIK
2 - 4
OSN
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
VIK
1 - 3
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
VIK
2 - 5
SCF
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 0
VIK
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
VIK
1 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Blau-Weiß Parchim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
PAR
1 - 0
STA
33%
26%
42%
|
11 | 68 | 57 | 0 |