Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
12.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MSV
0 - 0
VIK
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
F95
3 - 1
VIK
85%
9%
6%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
VIK
1 - 3
KOL
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -3 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 1
VIK
64%
18%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
VIK
3 - 3
BVB
48%
22%
30%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
AAA
0 - 2
PRE
64%
18%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
AAA
1 - 1
WHE
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
DUI
2 - 2
AAA
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
AAA
0 - 3
HAM
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
MON
3 - 1
AAA
63%
19%
19%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |