Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 2
VIK
49%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
WUP
1 - 1
VIK
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VIK
0 - 4
DIE
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
HAM
1 - 3
VIK
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
VIK
1 - 1
FCB
41%
27%
33%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
AAA
1 - 1
ADL
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WUP
3 - 0
AAA
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
AAA
3 - 2
BFR
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MSV
6 - 0
AAA
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -3 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
AAA
2 - 0
WEG
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |