Viktoria Herxheim vs Morlautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
58%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
13º
18º
18º
3
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Herxheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 3
MEC
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 0
VHE
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
TUS
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
2 - 1
AUE
15%
18%
68%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VHE
0 - 2
ENG
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Morlautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
6 - 1
MOR
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
TUS
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 1
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 5
WWO
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |