Viktoria Griesheim vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
21%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
17º
16º
34
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Griesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
VIK
0 - 0
EDD
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 1
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 1
VIK
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 3
POL
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TSV
6 - 0
VIK
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
GIE
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EIN
2 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCH
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIE
10 - 0
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
WEY
0 - 1
MAR
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |