Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
12º
18º
17º
14
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
BAY
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 1
VIK
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
NUR
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
4 - 1
VIK
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 4
WAC
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 4
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
2 - 2
HOF
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 0
ANS
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
WUR
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 1
TSA
81%
13%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |