Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
18º
14º
25
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 71% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 0
TAM
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
ILL
1 - 0
VIK
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 3
GRE
22%
24%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
VIK
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 0
VIK
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
TSA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 3
NUR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANS
2 - 1
TSA
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
WAC
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 2
TSA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |