Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Bayreuth SpVgg
44 ELO 42
14.4% Tilt 5.5%
5057º General ELO ranking 3777º
168º Country ELO ranking 111º
ELO win probability
37.6%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
23.5%
Draw
38.9%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.9%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-13%
+12%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2021
SCH
Schweinfurt
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
73%
16%
11%
41 50 9 0
25 May. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
54%
22%
24%
42 45 3 -1
22 May. 2021
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0 - 2
Schweinfurt
SCH
35%
23%
42%
44 48 4 -2
15 Aug. 2020
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 2
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
59%
20%
21%
44 38 6 0
12 Aug. 2020
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1 - 4
Hoffenheim II
HOF
56%
21%
23%
44 41 3 0

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 4
Schweinfurt
SCH
37%
24%
39%
46 48 2 0
25 May. 2021
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
54%
22%
24%
45 42 3 +1
18 May. 2021
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
53%
22%
26%
46 47 1 -1
12 Sep. 2020
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
4 - 2
Ammerthal
AMM
78%
14%
8%
46 24 22 0
03 Sep. 2020
ZWI
Zwickau
4 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
68%
19%
14%
46 56 10 0
X