Viktoria Plzeň II vs Chomutov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
9º
6º
3
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 35 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 32 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 31 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 29 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 23 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 21 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 20 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 16 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 15 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 15 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 2
VPZ
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VPZ
3 - 0
ADM
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FKD
2 - 0
VPZ
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VPZ
0 - 3
CBJ
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 4
VPZ
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
5 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 4
FKD
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
CHO
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
CHO
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
TAB
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |