Viking Stavanger vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
10º
4º
27
3º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 54 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
VKG
32%
24%
45%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 1
BOG
38%
23%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 3
VKG
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 0
MFK
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 0
VKG
20%
23%
58%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
LSK
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SDF
2 - 2
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ODD
2 - 0
STR
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |