Viking Stavanger vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
10º
4º
26
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 55 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 53 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 46 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 28 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
15% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VKG
5 - 0
RBK
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VKG
2 - 0
HAU
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VKG
2 - 1
FFC
87%
10%
4%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VKG
3 - 0
STB
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
VKG
3 - 0
EGE
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GÖT
0 - 3
S08
44%
24%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
S08
28%
22%
50%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIF
5 - 3
S08
40%
23%
38%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
S08
1 - 4
MOS
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 0
S08
70%
17%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |