Viking Stavanger vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
10º
3º
37
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 2% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
40.5% | 33.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
50% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 0
VKG
20%
23%
58%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VKG
2 - 0
KRI
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 2
VKG
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VKG
4 - 2
RBK
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
AIK
1 - 2
VKG
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 1
SIF
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 3
KFU
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
MFK
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
LSK
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
MFK
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |