Vihren vs Etar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vihren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
PIR
0 - 1
VIH
30%
28%
41%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIH
1 - 2
BOT
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
VIH
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VIH
0 - 0
SEP
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
VIH
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ETA
1 - 1
BAN
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
ETA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
SEP
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
ETA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
BVR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |