Vigor Senigallia vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
VSU
2 - 1
VIS
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VSU
0 - 1
FAN
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VSU
2 - 1
ALB
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
VSU
11%
22%
67%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VSU
5 - 2
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
VSU
0 - 1
FAN
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
FAN
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
FAN
26%
29%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CYN
0 - 1
FAN
51%
27%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |