Vigor Senigallia vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
VSU
2 - 1
ALB
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
VSU
11%
22%
67%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VSU
5 - 2
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VSU
1 - 0
AVE
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 1
VSU
23%
26%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
FAN
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
FAN
26%
29%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CYN
0 - 1
FAN
51%
27%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FAN
3 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |