Vigor Senigallia vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
8º
20
14º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
VSU
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VSU
0 - 1
SOR
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
VSU
44%
24%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 3
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 0
ANC
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANC
0 - 1
CIV
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 3
BFM
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
CIV
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
35%
23%
41%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |