Vigor Lamezia vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 0
VIG
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIG
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 1
BOR
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIG
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 0
RAA
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
54%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GAV
3 - 1
RAA
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
SAL
9%
18%
73%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FON
2 - 0
RAA
40%
27%
34%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |