Vigor Lamezia vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VIG
37%
28%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 0
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 2
VIG
58%
24%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
VIG
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 3
TER
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 0
USP
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
LAQ
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
GAV
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 2
LAQ
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |