Vigor Lamezia vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 2
TER
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 1
USP
55%
24%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MES
1 - 4
VIG
67%
21%
13%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RAA
2 - 0
VIG
27%
28%
45%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
SOR
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 2
ASM
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
3 - 3
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |