Vigor Lamezia vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 0
VIG
59%
23%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 1
GIU
52%
26%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 0
VIG
36%
25%
38%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
0 - 0
RAA
56%
25%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
3 - 2
NEA
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAM
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAQ
4 - 1
ASM
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
4 - 0
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |