Vigor Lamezia vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 4
VIG
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
VIG
33%
27%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIG
3 - 2
ARZ
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
VIG
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
NEA
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
0 - 0
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
FCC
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
RAA
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
APR
71%
19%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |