Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Vigo Sporting vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigo Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
2 - 1
RVS
91%
6%
2%
|
28 | 84 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
4 - 1
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
SPO
0 - 0
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
ARE
6 - 1
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1919 |
RVS
0 - 2
ARE
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
2 - 1
RVS
91%
6%
2%
|
84 | 28 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1916 |
ATH
4 - 0
RMA
58%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1915 |
ATH
5 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |