Vigevano Calcio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigevano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
CAG
3 - 2
VIG
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VIG
1 - 1
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1958 |
VIG
4 - 1
ACP
66%
18%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
VIG
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
VIG
0 - 2
TAR
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
3 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 2
NOV
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |