Vigevano Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigevano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
VIG
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
VIG
0 - 2
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ATL
5 - 0
VIG
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIG
0 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
VIG
0 - 1
CAT
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
3 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
MES
2 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 1
SSS
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |