Vigevano Calcio vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigevano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
COM
1 - 0
VIG
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
VIG
0 - 1
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
PAL
0 - 0
VIG
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 2
VIG
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
VIG
1 - 2
REG
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
REG
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACM
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |