Vierzon vs FCO Tourangeau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
3º
13
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
1º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vierzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
VIE
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 1
VIE
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIE
3 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
VIE
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIE
3 - 1
ORL
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FCO Tourangeau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 3
ORL
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 0
TOU
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
VIE
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
CHA
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 0
TOU
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |