Vierzon vs Orléans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
3º
20
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
1º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vierzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
VIE
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIE
2 - 2
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 0
VIE
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
5 - 0
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOU
5 - 1
VIE
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 0
CSL
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 2
ORL
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ORL
0 - 2
SBM
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 2
ESA
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |