First Vienna vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
VIE
1 - 0
RIT
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
VIE
0 - 0
SKN
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
VIE
2 - 0
EIS
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
VIE
3 - 0
DON
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NEU
1 - 3
VIE
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
WUR
0 - 3
FCW
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 1
WUR
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
WUR
4 - 0
KRE
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
WIE
1 - 1
WUR
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
WUR
1 - 0
ZWE
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |