Europa League 1/16
Global 2-2
First Vienna vs TPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
VIE
0 - 0
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1988 |
VIE
2 - 0
AUK
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
LAS
1 - 1
VIE
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
IKA
2 - 1
VIE
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
VIE
2 - 4
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
LIN
1 - 1
TPS
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
TPS
0 - 0
LIN
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
TPS
0 - 2
INT
3%
28%
70%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
INT
0 - 1
TPS
99%
1%
0%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
0 - 2
TPS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |