First Vienna vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
VIE
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KAP
3 - 0
VIE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
AWM
3 - 1
VIE
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
VIE
1 - 2
SKN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 2
VIE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
SVH
0 - 2
KAP
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
SKN
5 - 2
SVH
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
SVH
5 - 4
PAR
64%
19%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SVH
2 - 2
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
SVH
0 - 2
SCA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |